Elon Musk's companies are easy to describe in slogans and difficult to track in detail. A production vehicle, a limited commercial service, a flight-test article and a long-range ambition can all appear in the same presentation, despite carrying very different levels of technical and financial risk.
This report separates them.
The tracker covers the major publicly disclosed electric-vehicle programs at Tesla and the principal launch, spacecraft, satellite and human-spaceflight programs at SpaceX. It does not claim to catalog confidential internal work, every component upgrade or every individual mission.
Status date: July 29, 2026.
| Project | Status | What it is | What matters now |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model 3 | Production | Tesla's high-volume electric sedan, built in California and Shanghai. | Cost, regional demand, battery supply and continued hardware updates. |
| Model Y | Production | The company's core crossover and largest-volume vehicle platform, built in California, Shanghai, Berlin and Texas. | Factory utilization, regional variants and battery-pack availability. |
| Model YL | Launched | A longer Model Y variant introduced in the U.S. market in July 2026 after launches elsewhere. | Whether it broadens demand without adding excessive manufacturing complexity. |
| Cybertruck | Production | Stainless-steel electric pickup produced in Texas, using Tesla's 48-volt low-voltage architecture. | Production efficiency, mainstream demand, serviceability and cost. |
| Model S | Production ended | The sedan that established Tesla as a premium EV manufacturer. | Tesla decommissioned the Fremont Model S and X lines in 2026 as the portfolio shifted toward volume vehicles and autonomy. |
| Model X | Production ended | Tesla's premium SUV with distinctive falcon-wing rear doors. | Existing-fleet support continues, but it is no longer listed as an active manufacturing program in Tesla's July 2026 capacity table. |
| Project | Status | What it is | What matters now |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cybercab | Early production | A compact, purpose-built autonomous EV intended for Tesla's robotaxi fleet. Production began at Gigafactory Texas in Q2 2026. | Manufacturing rate, regulatory approval, unsupervised operating performance and fleet economics. |
| Tesla Semi | Factory commissioning | A Class 8 battery-electric truck. Tesla said its Nevada line remained scheduled to start production in 2026. | Pack supply, charging infrastructure, payload impact, uptime and cost per mile. |
| Roadster | Design development | The second-generation electric sports car first presented as a future halo product. | A production design, validated specifications and a firm manufacturing schedule. |
| Robovan | Public concept | A high-capacity autonomous passenger and cargo vehicle shown at Tesla's 2024 autonomy event. | Tesla has not published a production site, capacity target or launch schedule. |
Names such as “Model 2” or “Model Q” are not listed here because Tesla has not confirmed them as official vehicle programs. Affordable variants may be under development, but a rumored label is not the same as a disclosed product.
Tesla's robotaxi program is both a service and the intended destination for Cybercab. By July 2026, the company reported operations or announced coverage in multiple U.S. metropolitan areas. Those markets were not all equivalent: some used unsupervised operation, some retained safety drivers and others were still in testing, permitting or first-responder preparation.
The useful measures are paid autonomous miles, interventions, operating area, weather performance, fleet utilization and the conditions attached to each local authorization.
FSD (Supervised) is Tesla's advanced driver-assistance product for customer vehicles. Despite the name, it requires active driver supervision and does not make a privately owned Tesla autonomous. It also serves as a data and software foundation for the company's broader autonomy work.
The Supercharger network supports Tesla drivers and a growing number of vehicles from other manufacturers using the North American Charging Standard. Tesla Semi requires a higher-power charging system commonly referred to as Megacharging. Charging-site buildout, utility interconnection and depot design are integral parts of the freight project, not accessories to it.
Tesla's cylindrical 4680 cell program supports the Cybertruck and is expected to contribute to Cybercab, Semi and Model Y growth. The company is also building more of its battery-material chain, including Texas cathode and lithium-refining capacity. In July 2026, Tesla identified pack capacity as its main near-term vehicle-volume constraint.
| Project | Status | What it is | What matters now |
|---|---|---|---|
| Falcon 9 | Operational | A two-stage orbital rocket with a routinely reusable first stage. | Flight cadence, booster and fairing reuse, reliability and launch-site throughput. |
| Falcon Heavy | Operational | Three Falcon-derived cores combined for higher-energy and heavier payload missions. | Mission demand and scheduling alongside the higher-cadence Falcon 9 manifest. |
| Dragon | Operational | A reusable spacecraft family carrying astronauts and cargo to low Earth orbit. | Crew safety, station logistics, refurbishment and mission cadence. |
| Cargo Dragon | Operational | The uncrewed Dragon configuration used for cargo delivery and return. | Reliable ISS logistics and downmass capacity. |
| Crew Dragon | Operational | The crewed Dragon configuration used for NASA and private human spaceflight. | Safe repeat flights, spacecraft reuse and expanding mission profiles. |
| Project | Status | What it is | What matters now |
|---|---|---|---|
| Super Heavy | Flight testing | The reusable first-stage booster for Starship, powered by Raptor engines. | Engine-out performance, booster recovery, ground turnaround and reuse. |
| Starship | Flight testing | The reusable upper stage intended to reach orbit and return through atmospheric reentry. | Heat-shield durability, in-space relight, controlled reentry, landing and reuse. |
| Raptor | Iterating in production | SpaceX's methane-and-oxygen engine family for both stages of Starship. | Reliability, production rate, maintainability and performance across repeated flights. |
| Orbital propellant transfer | Development | The tanker and transfer system needed to refill Starship in orbit. | Demonstrating large-scale cryogenic transfer and managing propellant over time. |
| Starship launch infrastructure | Active buildout | Towers, mounts, tank farms, integration systems and recovery hardware in Texas and Florida. | Supporting frequent launches without long repair or regulatory delays. |
SpaceX conducted Starship's twelfth integrated flight test on May 25, 2026, continuing the transition to an upgraded generation of the vehicle. Each test can retire individual risks, but rapid reuse requires the booster, ship, engines, thermal protection and ground system to work as one operational loop.
Starlink is SpaceX's low-Earth-orbit broadband constellation and its largest recurring-use space service. The program includes the satellites, user terminals, gateways, network software and the Falcon launches that replenish and expand the constellation.
Direct to Cell equips compatible Starlink satellites to connect with ordinary mobile phones through partner carriers. Its development path moves from messaging toward broader data and voice capability, subject to spectrum rights, national approvals and satellite capacity.
Starshield applies SpaceX spacecraft, communications and Earth-observation capabilities to government customers. Public information is necessarily more limited than it is for the commercial Starlink network.
Crew Dragon provides operational transportation for NASA astronauts to and from the International Space Station. This is SpaceX's mature crewed-flight program and the base from which its private missions developed.
SpaceX supports privately funded Dragon flights, including free-flying missions and missions visiting the International Space Station. These programs expand the customer base for human spaceflight while relying on the established Falcon 9 and Dragon stack.
NASA selected a lunar Starship variant as a human landing system for Artemis. The lander is designed to carry astronauts between lunar orbit and the Moon's surface. It depends on Starship launch reliability, orbital refueling, long-duration cryogenic storage and crew-rated lunar operations.
Dragon XL is SpaceX's planned deep-space logistics spacecraft for delivering pressurized and unpressurized cargo to NASA's Gateway in lunar orbit. The architecture pairs a larger cargo vehicle with Falcon Heavy and is distinct from the Dragon spacecraft that serves the International Space Station.
SpaceX is developing NASA's U.S. Deorbit Vehicle, a Dragon-derived spacecraft with an enhanced trunk, to guide the International Space Station through a controlled reentry after station operations end. NASA approved the project's cost and schedule baselines in February 2026, with the vehicle intended for use around the station's planned 2030 retirement.
Mars is SpaceX's defining long-term objective, but it should not be confused with an operational mission schedule. Starship is being designed with Mars cargo and crew transport in mind. Before that architecture becomes credible, SpaceX must demonstrate routine Earth-orbit operations, refueling, extended-duration flight, high-energy reentry and reliable landing.
SpaceX has also presented Starship as a possible high-speed transportation system between distant points on Earth. It remains a concept rather than a scheduled commercial service and would require dedicated infrastructure, an airline-like safety case and regulatory approval across multiple jurisdictions.
SpaceX also operates programs that package capacity on its launch vehicles:
These are not separate rocket families, but they are distinct businesses and mission systems with their own integration, regulatory and scheduling requirements.
Tesla's operating core is Model 3, Model Y, Cybertruck, charging and supervised driver assistance. Its next bet is Cybercab and robotaxi service, with Semi entering production and Roadster still in development.
SpaceX's operating core is Falcon 9, Falcon Heavy, Dragon and Starlink. Its next bet is Starship: first as a reusable heavy-lift vehicle, then as the transport layer for larger satellites, lunar missions and, eventually, Mars.
The essential distinction is status. Production is not scale. A test flight is not routine service. A design target is not a schedule. The projects that matter most in the next year are the ones moving from one side of those lines to the other.
Primary reporting references: Tesla Q2 2026 Update; official Tesla vehicle, charging and AI materials; SpaceX Falcon, Dragon, Starship and human-spaceflight program pages; official Starlink and Direct to Cell materials. Statuses can change after July 29, 2026.
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